South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18e975f8b93bea68f48876daaa904e85850dd840591ed453eac8eee86e9f1261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 73c | 1,037$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…ab1fbacked Yes | 57c | 847.98$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 30c | 837.3$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.67 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 776.5$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 49c | 603.05$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2569…5d2dbacked No | 32c | 599.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 504$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 71c | 295.92$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 38c | 242$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 142.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 72c | 136.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 14c | 119.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 27c | 100.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 99.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 80c | 49.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 62c | 48.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 50c | 31.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 62c | 28.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 27.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…9988backed Yes | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 79c | 15.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Internacional vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-2.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.