South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x192afa7371af497cdae39fc883eb81f09bde28343d945ea831018b204ec259f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81b0…ad6dbacked No | 19c | 1,969$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 34c | 1,300$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.17 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 1,295$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.52 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed No | 63c | 1,160$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 605.81$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.86 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 605.06$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 542.02$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.27 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Yes | 36c | 309.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 16c | 298.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.17 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 34c | 239.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 79c | 181.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Yes | 35c | 181.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 165.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e8…ffcabacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 30c | 99.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 62c | 79.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 20c | 63.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 48c | 58.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 57.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 56.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 56.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 64c | 47.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 59c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 39c | 26.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…2a65backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.