South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f03e87f517707e207f693f7cbe5c8e3d9690e475f63fdc77186e628edb0168f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 31c | 1,421$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.42 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 60c | 875.28$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.48 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 782.37$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.68 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 39c | 570.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 55c | 569.44$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 60c | 520$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Under | 44c | 449.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 60c | 364.68$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.87 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…212dbacked Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 246.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 60c | 237.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 225$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 55c | 224.44$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 61c | 197.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 59c | 179.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 60c | 142$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 11c | 132$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 62c | 103.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 60c | 96.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 38c | 67.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 60c | 41.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 49c | 41.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…33c9backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…a0dabacked Over | 61c | 23.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 69c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.