Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1936ecfd41c4ed75fdd02813da5597cba64868cf6130dfa5f99a85b6fef72279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 19c | 9,638$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.13 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 7,426$5,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.8 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 2,334$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.19 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed Yes | 7c | 2,233$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 25c | 1,858$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.5 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,680$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.03 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…afc6backed Yes | 27c | 1,674$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 1,611$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.22 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 25c | 1,300$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 1,252$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.59 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 888.26$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.83 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 571.07$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 496$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 66c | 372.65$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 75c | 351$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9d…d03dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 75c | 174.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 26c | 142.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 15c | 141.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 75c | 118.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 17c | 92.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 25c | 79.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 26c | 67.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 74c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…78b3backed Yes | 26c | 57.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…6779backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…ca46backed Yes | 26c | 44.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 74c | 40.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 75c | 21.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…8b5ebacked No | 76c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…45cdbacked No | 75c | 16.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…0d00backed No | 75c | 16.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8c…465bbacked No | 75c | 15.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4e…eb4ebacked No | 75c | 14.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad end in a draw?this page
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-01-22?No won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.