Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x198672510be8db49e5e5a62a3533d9020d1cb21bdc85d5d900806b4e0d742dbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 80c | 1,113$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 1,041$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.37 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 865.24$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 57c | 701.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…042dbacked Over | 60c | 409.73$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 36c | 257.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 137.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 61c | 131.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 75c | 113.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fd…8e1abacked Over | 76c | 109.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 105$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 74c | 72.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…6e9ebacked Over | 75c | 53.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Over | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Under | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5this page
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 2.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Gençlerbirliği SK O/U 2.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.