Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x932ef71dc540ccc4709f3ab56413e65d69a0c33c0325322a90adac89d13b81b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 5c | 1,691$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…f6abbacked Over | 5c | 227.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 151.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 78.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Over | 32c | 75.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under | 74c | 59.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 26c | 59.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Under | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5this page
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 2.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Gençlerbirliği SK O/U 2.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.