MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19d6d8a183293bbd5ba5eab971185ae9221d41572bc5933cdd0f7c5493d461a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom Heroesof NC Dinos, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 558.89$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.16 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed NC Dinos | 54c | 495.14$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.52 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked NC Dinos | 58c | 354.68$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 67c | 287.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 219.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked NC Dinos | 59c | 195.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 76c | 187.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 60c | 175.74$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed NC Dinos | 57c | 170.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked NC Dinos | 39c | 153$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 122.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…dd38backed NC Dinos | 11c | 116.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NC Dinos | 12c | 109.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 106.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 67c | 83.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked NC Dinos | 56c | 71.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 66.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 79c | 65.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed NC Dinos | 56c | 59.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 58.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed NC Dinos | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 51.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed NC Dinos | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 47.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 63c | 34.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed NC Dinos | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed NC Dinos | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked NC Dinos | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 26.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…4c67backed NC Dinos | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 23.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.