La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19df0b07391962021e7e0e362b067f0a88ab6c371c69786b49e088fffe87f743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 65c | 19,403$12,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,791 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.94 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Yes | 37c | 1,944$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.75 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,942$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.81 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 18c | 1,514$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.77 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 63c | 1,252$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.14 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 64c | 943.75$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.75 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 63c | 694.26$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.88 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 17c | 622$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…a801backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…ed31backed No | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed No | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…30febacked Yes | 36c | 450$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 36c | 310$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 5c | 214$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 35c | 190$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 66c | 172.89$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 147.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 34c | 132.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 33c | 115$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes | 31c | 112.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…5e66backed Yes | 30c | 82.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…8084backed Yes | 21c | 63.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 66c | 50.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 64c | 38.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will Levante UD vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-10-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.