La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6547ad2e4820167c8ed505a44df2b360cb7274f1d875d18eec2d3402d9e12cf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 72c | 25,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 28c | 22,322$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250.17 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…3d4fbacked Yes | 32c | 2,830$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 72c | 2,361$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 1,693$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 28c | 1,620$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.61 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 1,586$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.72 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,512$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.09 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 68c | 644.47$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.23 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 564.05$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.15 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 11c | 322$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 72c | 272.59$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 252$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Yes | 27c | 136.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…20c6backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 86.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 21c | 64.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 79c | 63.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 61.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…16bcbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 74cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-10-19?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-10-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.