Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: S2G Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19e91d248a2e0559f990321e6d5d15084c8bf378002dbcfc44b718b178f6edc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- S2G Esportsof S2G Esports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Bushido Wildcats | 28c | 3,630$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked S2G Esports | 72c | 1,517$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked S2G Esports | 72c | 1,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked S2G Esports | 75c | 1,053$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.97 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Bushido Wildcats | 31c | 857.52$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.43 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed S2G Esports | 71c | 739.11$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.11 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed S2G Esports | 67c | 701$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.27 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed S2G Esports | 70c | 634.18$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.72 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Bushido Wildcats | 30c | 616.36$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed S2G Esports | 69c | 451.69$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.02 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 393.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…9f1bbacked S2G Esports | 69c | 357$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 24c | 219.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked S2G Esports | 72c | 98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…ef89backed S2G Esports | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed S2G Esports | 68c | 88.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked S2G Esports | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked S2G Esports | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked S2G Esports | 69c | 52.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…6eadbacked Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 45.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed S2G Esports | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…b3a8backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 41.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…4c2ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 32c | 37.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bushido Wildcats | 30c | 36.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…f431backed Bushido Wildcats | 32c | 36.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…79c2backed S2G Esports | 69c | 20.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39af…cb2abacked S2G Esports | 76c | 19.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…f22bbacked S2G Esports | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…1bdcbacked S2G Esports | 76c | 16.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…bae4backed S2G Esports | 76c | 16.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…d611backed S2G Esports | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d78…413cbacked S2G Esports | 76c | 15.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…cba2backed S2G Esports | 69c | 15.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed S2G Esports | 74c | 13.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…9230backed S2G Esports | 76c | 13.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…b0dcbacked S2G Esports | 76c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.