Tennis · resolved market
ITF Darmstadt: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Dayeon Back
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a1b00e643653f2630a2dd9a40a0596a36c571666147275c537579e9be471144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alicia Herrero Linanaof Alicia Herrero Linana, Dayeon Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 57c | 889.58$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.52 | 2,492 | 51.3%1,279 W · 1,213 L | +15.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Dayeon Back | 43c | 645.91$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Dayeon Back | 43c | 614.32$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.33 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Dayeon Back | 40c | 449.33$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 351 | 32.2%113 W · 238 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…9905backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 57c | 175.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 61c | 164.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Dayeon Back | 23c | 147.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 3,195 | 57.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L | +178.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dayeon Back | 40c | 137.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 4,041 | 45.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L | -28.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 78c | 124.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 59c | 97.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 59c | 96.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 981 | 56%549 W · 432 L | +23.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 967 | 55.9%541 W · 426 L | +21.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Dayeon Back | 43c | 68.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 483 | 45.8%221 W · 262 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 59c | 64.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Dayeon Back | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 988 | 55.5%548 W · 440 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dayeon Back | 27c | 51.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Dayeon Back | 40c | 46.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dayeon Back | 42c | 36.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 74c | 35.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 76c | 33.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 60c | 25.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 56c | 22.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 5,553 | 48.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.