Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a3cb2a3dd0726f651ba0ff5437001a8fea6f7a6e28ccc0e97344e05102a6230
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN SOOPersof BNK FEARX, DN SOOPers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked DN SOOPers | 65c | 17,263$11,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,089.69 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 16,300$5,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,754.41 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked BNK FEARX | 34c | 2,257$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.29 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed DN SOOPers | 66c | 1,411$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.74 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed BNK FEARX | 38c | 1,240$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.59 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed DN SOOPers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed BNK FEARX | 34c | 680$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.2 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed DN SOOPers | 59c | 611.5$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.39 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked DN SOOPers | 62c | 539.11$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.85 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked DN SOOPers | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed DN SOOPers | 64c | 401.63$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked BNK FEARX | 34c | 299.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 249.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BNK FEARX | 49c | 198$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 177.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c1…1527backed BNK FEARX | 34c | 169.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed DN SOOPers | 75c | 169$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…af42backed DN SOOPers | 65c | 153.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed DN SOOPers | 62c | 151.64$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed DN SOOPers | 65c | 126.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…cf07backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 108.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked DN SOOPers | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 95.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…ca3abacked BNK FEARX | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked DN SOOPers | 63c | 77.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked BNK FEARX | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1f…c18fbacked BNK FEARX | 36c | 74.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…45ecbacked DN SOOPers | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked BNK FEARX | 39c | 63.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c71…4fbabacked DN SOOPers | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked DN SOOPers | 61c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked BNK FEARX | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked BNK FEARX | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b23…c16abacked DN SOOPers | 63c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 50.8%161 W · 156 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked DN SOOPers | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed DN SOOPers | 61c | 20.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?DN SOOPers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupDN SOOPers won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerDN SOOPers won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.