Champions League · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a562b580f60d7d3aceec084f9c4d28bdc6b6b80c7ff049517b16da4179ca4bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 364.12$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 200.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 180.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…37f8backed Yes | 34c | 141.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 66c | 139.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…f105backed Yes | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 66c | 135.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…9f6fbacked Yes | 34c | 129.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…b6eabacked No | 29c | 117.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 86.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c9…ad24backed Yes | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 71.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 33c | 63.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 35c | 63.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d44…d3b7backed Yes | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe17d…a3f9backed Yes | 62c | 51.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed Yes | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 57c | 42.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Yes | 33c | 32.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Yes | 44c | 26.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…2bb3backed Yes | 57c | 20.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…ade9backed No | 58c | 17.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 63c | 17.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?Yes won
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.