Champions League · resolved market
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8356009f1127b2f475cd54e18b144746c17000fe60137f9eed6ed0bf4cf1451a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 3,291$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.57 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 39c | 3,100$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.9 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Yes | 52c | 591.48$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 50c | 585.88$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.94 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 49c | 571.98$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.18 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 11c | 393.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Yes | 49c | 383.53$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…1b4fbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 282.45$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 51c | 281.67$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.02 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Yes | 50c | 269.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 242.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 234.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…a838backed Yes | 50c | 230.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…8fe6backed Yes | 51c | 196.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 49c | 176.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.03 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 49c | 148.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 67c | 121.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 99.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 614 | 37.5%230 W · 384 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Yes | 52c | 85.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 51c | 82.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a99…a5d0backed No | 52c | 81.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed No | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…4fb7backed Yes | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked Yes | 50c | 74.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…628ebacked No | 51c | 74.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…da1ebacked No | 51c | 72.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Yes | 51c | 67.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…9900backed Yes | 51c | 64.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 54c | 63.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6581…ebafbacked Yes | 50c | 57.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Yes | 47c | 53.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86a…644dbacked Yes | 50c | 52.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ee…27cfbacked Yes | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 61c | 47.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 51c | 46.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 51c | 44.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…5af6backed Yes | 50c | 38.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 63c | 38.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…2f06backed Yes | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 34.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 54c | 33.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 54c | 33.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 60c | 31.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 49c | 31.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Yes | 50c | 28.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abc…9e55backed Yes | 50c | 28.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 61c | 27.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 52c | 26.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 52c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 60c | 23.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked No | 51c | 20.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 58c | 18.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?Yes won
- FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.