Premier League · resolved market
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a87502055f9d042de250a51bc99ebcb5f2b98155a465558ed39cadc3aa0cbdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 75c | 7,828$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.61 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 3,276$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 26c | 1,846$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.96 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,840$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.08 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 25c | 1,442$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.51 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 210$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 75c | 206.85$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 187.3$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 25c | 166.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 122.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 104.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Yes | 16c | 99.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 78.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 78.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…d75cbacked Yes | 28c | 76.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…ae5dbacked Yes | 28c | 76.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 29c | 75.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 65.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 25c | 63.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 80c | 25.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.