CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a94f59f180133c07854abe0b783c295a4cf9cd37a5016e2910f8a9158577393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof Brute, Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0862…24d2backed Brute | 39c | 1,242$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.58 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Brute | 45c | 1,158$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.3 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…ebe4backed Young Ninjas | 33c | 991.8$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Young Ninjas | 32c | 944.96$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.92 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Young Ninjas | 65c | 622.86$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.71 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Young Ninjas | 49c | 578.18$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.87 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brute | 38c | 565.47$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.25 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Brute | 63c | 500.81$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.3 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Brute | 66c | 494.83$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.94 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Young Ninjas | 54c | 441.87$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.02 | 373 | 46.1%172 W · 201 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Brute | 68c | 395.91$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Young Ninjas | 50c | 383.15$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.58 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Young Ninjas | 57c | 343.59$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Young Ninjas | 57c | 308.21$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Young Ninjas | 62c | 307.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Brute | 48c | 227.08$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…4397backed Young Ninjas | 52c | 187.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Brute | 43c | 179.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 395 | 40.3%159 W · 236 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Brute | 26c | 165.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Brute | 29c | 159.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Young Ninjas | 45c | 157.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 357 | 49.9%178 W · 179 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Young Ninjas | 62c | 147.48$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Brute | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Brute | 38c | 142.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Young Ninjas | 78c | 142.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Young Ninjas | 70c | 131.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Brute | 67c | 108.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas | 68c | 106.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Young Ninjas | 31c | 100.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Young Ninjas | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Young Ninjas | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Brute | 49c | 97.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Young Ninjas | 40c | 91.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Young Ninjas | 60c | 81.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Young Ninjas | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Brute | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Brute | 50c | 75.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffdc…ce87backed Brute | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef8…a126backed Brute | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Brute | 33c | 68.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Brute | 17c | 65.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Brute | 51c | 64.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Brute | 56c | 64.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Brute | 47c | 63.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Young Ninjas | 51c | 59.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Young Ninjas | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Young Ninjas | 46c | 54.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Young Ninjas | 65c | 51.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Young Ninjas | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Brute | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Brute | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 1,278 | 71.5%914 W · 364 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed Young Ninjas | 51c | 42.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Young Ninjas | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Brute | 45c | 37.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Brute | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab1…86e3backed Young Ninjas | 33c | 34.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brute | 41c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Young Ninjas | 52c | 32.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Brute | 59c | 32.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Young Ninjas | 74c | 30.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Brute | 41c | 29.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…a5a2backed Brute | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked Brute | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…9da8backed Brute | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Brute | 46c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Young Ninjas | 59c | 20.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 280 | 48.6%136 W · 144 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Young Ninjas | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…125ebacked Brute | 68c | 17.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Young Ninjas | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Brute | 70c | 14.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.