Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Michiel De Krom
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aaaf1805d02f092244461ce0b7f37482e3f6dd97816c5018f3d53cb0f983625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bernardo Munk Mesaof Bernardo Munk Mesa, Michiel De Krom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 60c | 2,627$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.8 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Michiel De Krom | 41c | 2,149$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Michiel De Krom | 66c | 681.82$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 34c | 599.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Michiel De Krom | 52c | 395.07$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.44 | 223 | 39%87 W · 136 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Michiel De Krom | 35c | 390.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 59c | 339.83$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.55 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Michiel De Krom | 66c | 301.47$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Michiel De Krom | 41c | 228.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 283 | 48.1%136 W · 147 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 34c | 168.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 35c | 142.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Michiel De Krom | 67c | 117.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 388 | 54.1%210 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Michiel De Krom | 19c | 99.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 34c | 72.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Michiel De Krom | 65c | 62.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 896 | 59.6%534 W · 362 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Michiel De Krom | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 857 | 41.7%357 W · 500 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Michiel De Krom | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 250 | 48.4%121 W · 129 L | +22.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed Michiel De Krom | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 34c | 35.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Michiel De Krom | 66c | 30.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 195 | 40.5%79 W · 116 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…a6f7backed Michiel De Krom | 46c | 26.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 58c | 20.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.