Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab97333380f69424da2b8dc892d662368538037bc97a21dd999f1383162b21c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.94 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 55c | 9,994$5,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.54 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 56c | 8,203$4,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.46 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 44c | 7,874$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.42 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 43c | 4,748$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.72 | 548 | 29.6%162 W · 386 L | -36.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…e361backed Under | 43c | 4,199$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 3,483$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.98 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Under | 45c | 2,186$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.69 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 45c | 1,171$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 44c | 1,097$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.57 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 45c | 1,082$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 44c | 882.14$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.5 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 45c | 873.33$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 57c | 746.86$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.81 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 58c | 634.54$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.5 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Under | 45c | 580$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 43c | 362.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.58 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…4ce4backed Under | 44c | 290.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 58c | 220$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 45c | 126$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 45c | 89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 45c | 87.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 45c | 80.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 57c | 78.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 57c | 55.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 57c | 49.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…30abbacked Under | 45c | 44.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 57c | 26.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 504 | 56%282 W · 222 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Over | 57c | 22.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Kiwoom DRX won
- Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerKiwoom DRX won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.