Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd178d02e85b9975bebcc559225984eed6924ef74b1d9730771cbede6f31e20b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Over | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…6178backed Under | 76c | 1,320$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 76c | 570$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.48 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 50c | 475.07$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.72 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 24c | 403.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.33 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Under | 75c | 394.06$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.72 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 23c | 380.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.08 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 21c | 343.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.42 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…4ce4backed Under | 18c | 332.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 39c | 216.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 77c | 183.79$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.52 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Under | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…b8bebacked Over | 25c | 116$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 23c | 100.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 79.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 17c | 60.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over | 77c | 48.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed Under | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed Under | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 38c | 30.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Under | 77c | 25.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 67.1%114 W · 56 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…2408backed Under | 78c | 19.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…29ecbacked Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Kiwoom DRX won
- Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerKiwoom DRX won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.