CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ae36cc34f6fabf4dbfac2e68ee72fbd698365fcc224c3284d7717378824ac7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof Marsborne, Iowa Stormboar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe296…046ebacked Iowa Stormboar | 35c | 565.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Marsborne | 72c | 499.99$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Marsborne | 71c | 297.09$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked Iowa Stormboar | 28c | 279.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Marsborne | 65c | 230.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Iowa Stormboar | 24c | 187.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Iowa Stormboar | 22c | 187.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Iowa Stormboar | 19c | 142.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Marsborne | 64c | 122.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…e911backed Iowa Stormboar | 79c | 84.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Iowa Stormboar | 29c | 62.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Marsborne | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Iowa Stormboar | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…db2ebacked Marsborne | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…09b8backed Marsborne | 64c | 26.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marsborne | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Marsborne | 68c | 17.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League PlayoffsMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 1 WinnerMarsborne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.