Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. North Dakota State Bison
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b51953cd5f7cd2656d849ca0f7c9241450d47c0bcf790a1425dc9cb1aededab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota State Bisonof Southern Illinois Salukis, North Dakota State Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 882.57$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.73 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 50c | 490$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota State Bison | 49c | 333$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 49c | 326.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…5ab5backed North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…a98fbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…28e6backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…48cebacked North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…15d7backed North Dakota State Bison | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…840ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b6…58f5backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…6ab1backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 51c | 207$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…1e3ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 49c | 202$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c9…4cecbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 51c | 202$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…905dbacked North Dakota State Bison | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8f…5c77backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d6…2fcbbacked North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec4…7553backed North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…a849backed North Dakota State Bison | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…81ddbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…d8debacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…c8ebbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…35e8backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…c07abacked North Dakota State Bison | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 49c | 101.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 49c | 28.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 20.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Dakota State Bison | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.