CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b5394a1a4ea83ef513be0b215bdbcf129d52fe689b56d621977c60c96a6981e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Inner Circle Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Inner Circle Academy | 37c | 2,787$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.21 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 58c | 2,457$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Inner Circle Academy | 50c | 1,443$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.04 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Inner Circle Academy | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.97 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 61c | 762.35$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Misa Esports | 60c | 731.03$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.31 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Inner Circle Academy | 41c | 439.85$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Misa Esports | 60c | 417.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Misa Esports | 59c | 346.9$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.65 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Misa Esports | 53c | 305.31$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 58c | 276.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 276.08$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Misa Esports | 59c | 237.54$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Inner Circle Academy | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Misa Esports | 55c | 199.06$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Misa Esports | 60c | 183.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Inner Circle Academy | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Inner Circle Academy | 45c | 129.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…2ea8backed Inner Circle Academy | 46c | 126.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Misa Esports | 60c | 122$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Misa Esports | 56c | 119.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked Inner Circle Academy | 40c | 117.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Misa Esports | 57c | 116.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Misa Esports | 54c | 116.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Misa Esports | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 60c | 95.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…afc5backed Inner Circle Academy | 27c | 70.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Inner Circle Academy | 44c | 65.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Inner Circle Academy | 40c | 56.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b3…f704backed Misa Esports | 60c | 49.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…cf2dbacked Inner Circle Academy | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Inner Circle Academy | 40c | 43.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Misa Esports | 58c | 42.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Inner Circle Academy | 42c | 41.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Misa Esports | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…7816backed Misa Esports | 65c | 37.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked Inner Circle Academy | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Misa Esports | 73c | 32.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Misa Esports | 57c | 32.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Misa Esports | 73c | 31.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Inner Circle Academy | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Misa Esports | 58c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Misa Esports | 60c | 26.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Inner Circle Academy | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Misa Esports | 68c | 24.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Misa Esports | 64c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Misa Esports | 57c | 19.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.