CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b7abaf6222fb1b8ed2107e74ec3510c0fb0ef5ef8bc481e67dac04edd1a8c66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIA Academyof RED Canids, BESTIA Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked BESTIA Academy | 13c | 23,481$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,357.64 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…f8bfbacked BESTIA Academy | 60c | 13,227$7,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked RED Canids | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked RED Canids | 0c | 8,129$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed RED Canids | 36c | 6,757$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.55 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…ae42backed BESTIA Academy | 16c | 4,189$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +507.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked BESTIA Academy | 73c | 3,400$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.11 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked BESTIA Academy | 11c | 3,269$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked BESTIA Academy | 16c | 2,874$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.75 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…7e32backed BESTIA Academy | 14c | 2,816$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +444.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked BESTIA Academy | 62c | 2,714$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.08 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…b223backed RED Canids | 3c | 2,375$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed RED Canids | 1c | 2,080$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed RED Canids | 20c | 2,072$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.74 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BESTIA Academy | 20c | 1,922$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.1 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed RED Canids | 24c | 1,753$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.15 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…1e7bbacked BESTIA Academy | 13c | 1,183$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +277.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed BESTIA Academy | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.39 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed RED Canids | 69c | 930.06$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.07 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed BESTIA Academy | 12c | 713$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.44 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…a1f1backed BESTIA Academy | 13c | 520.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed RED Canids | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2665…c2d0backed BESTIA Academy | 11c | 427.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…9f1bbacked RED Canids | 53c | 417.6$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…5dfcbacked BESTIA Academy | 14c | 390$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.2 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed BESTIA Academy | 13c | 377.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.77 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed BESTIA Academy | 11c | 338.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.26 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed BESTIA Academy | 13c | 305.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.29 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed BESTIA Academy | 8c | 305$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.6 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed BESTIA Academy | 15c | 287$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.3 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed RED Canids | 67c | 216.27$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed BESTIA Academy | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +178.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…f037backed RED Canids | 40c | 176.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed BESTIA Academy | 28c | 175.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.52 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed BESTIA Academy | 14c | 150.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed BESTIA Academy | 44c | 113.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked RED Canids | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked BESTIA Academy | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed BESTIA Academy | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked RED Canids | 58c | 92.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed RED Canids | 15c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RED Canids | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids | 31c | 81.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked RED Canids | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed BESTIA Academy | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed RED Canids | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f92…c778backed BESTIA Academy | 60c | 25.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.