Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c0827912932d17622bd2a327ff43c8d432f4e1de82b06c37e76043b65c80be4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Bublik, Perricard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Bublik | 63c | 2,409$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.37 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Perricard | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Bublik | 38c | 999.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.94 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Perricard | 62c | 703.9$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.02 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bublik | 38c | 599.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Perricard | 37c | 541.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Perricard | 62c | 428.55$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Perricard | 59c | 335.85$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.17 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Perricard | 56c | 323.27$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Perricard | 63c | 306.24$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bublik | 37c | 245.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Bublik | 46c | 238.81$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Bublik | 42c | 236.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bublik | 41c | 224$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.73 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bublik | 36c | 216.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Bublik | 41c | 209.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Perricard | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Bublik | 40c | 188$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Bublik | 37c | 176.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Perricard | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Perricard | 40c | 163.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Perricard | 62c | 161.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Perricard | 61c | 161.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Perricard | 62c | 161.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Perricard | 58c | 152$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bublik | 55c | 124.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Perricard | 61c | 122.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b79…e1e8backed Bublik | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Perricard | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Bublik | 44c | 82.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Perricard | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Perricard | 56c | 75.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Perricard | 37c | 72.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Bublik | 60c | 63.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Bublik | 37c | 60.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bublik | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Bublik | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Bublik | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Perricard | 60c | 46.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Perricard | 63c | 40.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Perricard | 50c | 38.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Bublik | 42c | 36.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Perricard | 51c | 35.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Perricard | 63c | 33.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Perricard | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Bublik | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Perricard | 47c | 27.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Bublik | 60c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)this page
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Perricard vs. Bublik: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Perricard vs BublikBublik won
- Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander BublikAlexander Bublik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.