Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Quentin Halys vs David Goffin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c803feda4363052f6d9b048a143f7180f8f595980fa6a12c757920f0551a45b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Goffinof Halys, Goffin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Halys | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Goffin | 41c | 8,892$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,207.78 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Goffin | 38c | 2,124$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.17 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Halys | 63c | 1,838$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.07 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Goffin | 61c | 901.64$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.64 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Goffin | 77c | 662.29$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Halys | 63c | 481.16$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Goffin | 37c | 468$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.84 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Goffin | 76c | 351$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Goffin | 46c | 269.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Goffin | 63c | 267.84$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.97 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Goffin | 50c | 225$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Goffin | 50c | 200.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Halys | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Goffin | 50c | 165$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Goffin | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Goffin | 34c | 139.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Goffin | 51c | 138.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Goffin | 44c | 137.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Goffin | 38c | 130.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Goffin | 45c | 125.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Goffin | 46c | 117.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Halys | 20c | 108.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Goffin | 44c | 96.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Goffin | 43c | 91.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Goffin | 38c | 32.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Halys | 65c | 30.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Goffin | 45c | 29.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Halys | 46c | 26.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Halys | 63c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9913…76c0backed Halys | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.