Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Xiyu Wang vs Polina Kudermetova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d266b043ac2f13bdd434d4d6241bbf424437d050e9a6ac3ecc607564739e55c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xiyu Wangof Xiyu Wang, Polina Kudermetova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7eb6…8b20backed Polina Kudermetova | 9c | 10,407$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Polina Kudermetova | 38c | 1,228$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.6 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Polina Kudermetova | 19c | 902.62$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.03 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Polina Kudermetova | 39c | 849.95$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.48 | 368 | 38.3%141 W · 227 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Polina Kudermetova | 16c | 812.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 521 | 33%172 W · 349 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Polina Kudermetova | 15c | 632$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Polina Kudermetova | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Polina Kudermetova | 5c | 349.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 497 | 40.6%202 W · 295 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Polina Kudermetova | 30c | 290$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Xiyu Wang | 62c | 283.1$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 980 | 55.4%543 W · 437 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Polina Kudermetova | 38c | 281.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d0…6b25backed Xiyu Wang | 61c | 264.07$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Xiyu Wang | 61c | 246.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Polina Kudermetova | 6c | 242.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Polina Kudermetova | 17c | 223.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Polina Kudermetova | 9c | 221.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Xiyu Wang | 59c | 191.65$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Polina Kudermetova | 36c | 166.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Polina Kudermetova | 36c | 126.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…1aafbacked Polina Kudermetova | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Polina Kudermetova | 17c | 119.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Xiyu Wang | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 299 | 55.2%165 W · 134 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Polina Kudermetova | 11c | 111.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Polina Kudermetova | 38c | 107.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Xiyu Wang | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Polina Kudermetova | 25c | 93.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Polina Kudermetova | 36c | 90.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 319 | 42.6%136 W · 183 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Polina Kudermetova | 38c | 86.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Xiyu Wang | 63c | 78.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Xiyu Wang | 61c | 77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Xiyu Wang | 61c | 76.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Polina Kudermetova | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 370 | 60%222 W · 148 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Polina Kudermetova | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Polina Kudermetova | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Xiyu Wang | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Xiyu Wang | 61c | 30.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…d5e9backed Polina Kudermetova | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Polina Kudermetova | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Xiyu Wang | 61c | 23.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Xiyu Wang | 61c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 595 | 65.4%389 W · 206 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Xiyu Wang | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…c338backed Xiyu Wang | 69c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.