Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Randers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d2bb549f09847e30e9e98ffbbaafc1e60e7430477eab9d61d4cd990bf8a7e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Odense BKof Randers FC, Odense BK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9dc…6a9fbacked Odense BK | 47c | 227.04$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8626…acc2backed Odense BK | 47c | 217.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…9f58backed Odense BK | 47c | 217.51$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…0907backed Odense BK | 47c | 213.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e27…a24cbacked Odense BK | 47c | 210.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926b…84a7backed Odense BK | 47c | 210.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca0…8be9backed Odense BK | 47c | 208.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…eb09backed Odense BK | 47c | 208.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…71b9backed Odense BK | 47c | 203.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…21b8backed Odense BK | 47c | 201.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…dd5fbacked Odense BK | 47c | 201.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…1cedbacked Odense BK | 47c | 200.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…249bbacked Odense BK | 47c | 199.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…0288backed Odense BK | 47c | 198.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0f…820bbacked Odense BK | 47c | 196.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Odense BK | 79c | 22.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Randers FC (-1.5)this page
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Randers FC (-2.5)Odense BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.