Other European Leagues · resolved market
Odense BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c6d91fbe74aefdde007d7bcf43f9e83ef9706b9d8b8e7c36200e6bce6ecf7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 2,706$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 23c | 1,842$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.42 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 1,124$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.35 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 29c | 925.02$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.08 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 20c | 720.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.25 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 14c | 299.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 27c | 291.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 35c | 248.57$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…dee2backed Under | 50c | 211.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e9…9107backed Under | 50c | 206.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…3768backed Under | 50c | 203.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…febcbacked Under | 50c | 201.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…9113backed Under | 50c | 200.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…718dbacked Over | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…7f14backed Under | 50c | 199.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef7…d991backed Under | 50c | 198.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911c…f546backed Under | 50c | 197.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7336…59eebacked Under | 50c | 196.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…866fbacked Under | 50c | 196.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d0…ceb7backed Under | 50c | 196.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…836fbacked Under | 50c | 195.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…6d80backed Under | 77c | 194.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…e8a9backed Under | 50c | 193.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…821dbacked Under | 50c | 184.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…b17fbacked Under | 50c | 181.94$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Over | 23c | 173.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Over | 51c | 141.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 68c | 122.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 109.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 80c | 74.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 32c | 70.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 23c | 59.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…bc8cbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 67c | 16.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Randers FC (-1.5)Odense BK won
- Spread: Randers FC (-2.5)Odense BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.