Other European Leagues · resolved market
Odense BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d0e381413883d6d06ba4979d8fee68102e43cecf690359da748029cb91a225e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,643$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 50c | 1,185$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.41 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 856.39$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.9 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Over | 55c | 709.14$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 49c | 706.86$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.24 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 50c | 686.8$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.72 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 14c | 368.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f4…8025backed Under | 50c | 225.93$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529b…cf37backed Under | 50c | 219.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…a6cdbacked Under | 50c | 217.54$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…5f71backed Under | 50c | 215.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…5846backed Under | 50c | 214.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7c…b757backed Under | 50c | 211.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…e610backed Under | 50c | 208.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6234…00a8backed Under | 50c | 205.11$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa292…d691backed Under | 50c | 203.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…0eb8backed Under | 50c | 200.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…818abacked Under | 50c | 200.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…915abacked Under | 50c | 198.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…33c6backed Under | 50c | 197.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…f3bdbacked Under | 50c | 195.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…e8b8backed Under | 50c | 194.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Under | 61c | 164.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 124.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 58c | 115.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 52c | 114.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 46c | 93.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 75.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 61.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…859fbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 62c | 48.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 68c | 35.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 47c | 25.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 55c | 25.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 46c | 23.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Under | 48c | 22.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 60c | 20.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Odense BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Randers FC (-1.5)Odense BK won
- Spread: Randers FC (-2.5)Odense BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.