CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d3538ab19a2d691b66501394b6702dc9d96ba7c20c65e9fa356f8aaf4f37c22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Haunted Houseof Haunted House, THUNDER dOWNUNDER
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Haunted House | 7c | 899.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.98 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Haunted House | 9c | 555.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.53 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Haunted House | 36c | 535.53$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.74 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Haunted House | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 62c | 421.79$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.21 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 41c | 362.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Haunted House | 33c | 303.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.05 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Haunted House | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 55c | 271.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.57 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Haunted House | 48c | 243.6$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Haunted House | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.95 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Haunted House | 36c | 126.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 66c | 121.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 66c | 114.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Haunted House | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 54c | 91.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Haunted House | 35c | 86.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Haunted House | 34c | 81.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Haunted House | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af4…e516backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 76c | 65.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 67c | 64.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…da05backed Haunted House | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…32e2backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 60c | 21.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER - Map 1 WinnerHaunted House won
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER - Map 2 WinnerHaunted House won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.