TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. California Baptist Lancers

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
California Baptist Lancersof Abilene Christian Wildcats, California Baptist Lancers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,583 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x099f…c1e1backed Abilene Christian Wildcats17c866.08$148 inLost-$147.5862140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats19c553.52$105 inLost-$105.1737441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed California Baptist Lancers79c359.81$284 inWon+$75.561,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Abilene Christian Wildcats20c331.15$65 inLost-$64.91,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked California Baptist Lancers80c313.1$250 inWon+$62.6212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats18c310.79$56 inLost-$55.9455532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Abilene Christian Wildcats21c200$42 inLost-$422,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats22c199.45$44 inLost-$43.881,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed California Baptist Lancers78c191.55$149 inWon+$42.1426254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Abilene Christian Wildcats16c187.5$30 inLost-$3093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Abilene Christian Wildcats21c123.28$26 inLost-$25.8981528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Abilene Christian Wildcats22c100$22 inLost-$21.516755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Abilene Christian Wildcats19c99.46$19 inLost-$18.916721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Abilene Christian Wildcats22c93.79$21 inLost-$20.795,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats20c80.55$16 inLost-$16.1120834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Abilene Christian Wildcats19c80$16 inLost-$15.533445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed California Baptist Lancers79c74.62$59 inWon+$15.6749157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Abilene Christian Wildcats21c47.62$10 inLost-$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked California Baptist Lancers78c24.85$19 inWon+$5.473542.9%15 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.