Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d91e497713dea2a0370950d267970ff5425965924e011e086041f3ed5696888
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 8c | 5,681$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.24 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 1,651$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.42 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 7c | 1,347$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 881.24$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.48 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 9c | 530$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 30c | 417$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.07 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 31c | 284.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.16 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 20c | 264.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed No | 7c | 242.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 35c | 169.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 65c | 168$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed No | 7c | 165.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 60c | 112.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed No | 70c | 98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 50c | 73.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 45c | 67.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…4e2abacked Yes | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed No | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?No won
- Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.