Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Louisa Chirico
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d9ca596fad5fd6dc71e7e5613e0d4e4bb05ba81eccdfcace391db592a97376a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasia Zakharovaof Anastasia Zakharova, Louisa Chirico
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,433 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Louisa Chirico | 11c | 10,800$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Louisa Chirico | 15c | 3,524$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.72 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Louisa Chirico | 11c | 1,844$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.56 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Louisa Chirico | 14c | 1,031$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Louisa Chirico | 3c | 1,011$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Louisa Chirico | 16c | 753$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Louisa Chirico | 19c | 662.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…d211backed Anastasia Zakharova | 77c | 518$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Louisa Chirico | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Louisa Chirico | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked Louisa Chirico | 11c | 175$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Louisa Chirico | 11c | 158.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…6100backed Louisa Chirico | 16c | 129.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Anastasia Zakharova | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Louisa Chirico | 16c | 83.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Anastasia Zakharova | 78c | 65.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.