MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e0aab43e8bbad476cfc49f85116e605229628b49f79ac775ee7621aa535ff9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Doosan Bears, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 1,068$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.09 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 772.1$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.36 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 539$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.27 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Doosan Bears | 48c | 507.48$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.52 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 441.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.43 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 432.71$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.93 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 62c | 398.06$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.09 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 383.02$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…33b5backed Doosan Bears | 14c | 321.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 251.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 167.63$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 128.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 108.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Doosan Bears | 73c | 104$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 103.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Lotte Giants | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 70.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 70.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 63.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efd…a583backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 51.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 43.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…85e2backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 33.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 27.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 20.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 64c | 20.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 19.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Doosan Bears | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.