Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e3adf5d05b1c27a5f3ebf0e2770f32d4937fb1152d90cc9930720ec962ab7cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 1,291$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.35 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,288$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.76 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Over | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 9c | 341.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a4…4751backed Over | 61c | 290.61$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 77c | 238.69$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 15c | 229.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 216$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 30c | 215.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Over | 14c | 212.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 31c | 196.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.46 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 66c | 165$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 30c | 143.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 42c | 83.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 35c | 49.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 42.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 35c | 37.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 37c | 32.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 44c | 31.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 31.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 44c | 29.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Over | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 76c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 3.5this page
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. FK Jablonec: Team to AdvanceFK Jablonec won
- Spread: FK Jablonec (-1.5)FK Rīgas Futbola Skola won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.