La Liga · resolved market
CD Mirandés vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e4bace9d322fce94d1e40eede9f84d1980765c35bfdaa469e6bb5fc6b0b6425
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,825 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 2,501$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.41 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 22c | 1,250$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 1,205$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.96 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 78c | 714.65$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.22 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 32c | 588.12$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 400.22$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 25c | 204$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 29c | 202$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…b51cbacked Under | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…df11backed Over | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe345…f5ecbacked Under | 76c | 157.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…5b63backed Over | 24c | 157.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa0…a5edbacked Under | 77c | 154.37$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…eb8ebacked Over | 23c | 154$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 71c | 73.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Over | 25c | 60.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Under | 79c | 34.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 40c | 29.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 75c | 24.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 21.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Mirandés vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 3.5this page
- CD Mirandés vs. Real Valladolid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Mirandés vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Mirandés vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Mirandés vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.