CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e4f89c385c3c749326d77f09ee6ef5e2af0d3a78b59bcfdddd3f8b6edc5433d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAW Youngstersof SAW Youngsters, ex-MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ex-MANA eSports | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.99 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked SAW Youngsters | 51c | 725.92$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.94 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 661.68$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.84 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SAW Youngsters | 47c | 621.11$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.19 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SAW Youngsters | 49c | 512.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 53c | 402$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.08 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 38c | 257.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed SAW Youngsters | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 198$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SAW Youngsters | 46c | 180.37$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SAW Youngsters | 69c | 179.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SAW Youngsters | 51c | 171.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SAW Youngsters | 48c | 154$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 42c | 111.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed SAW Youngsters | 55c | 60.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed SAW Youngsters | 67c | 46.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SAW Youngsters | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed SAW Youngsters | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4e…dd78backed ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSAW Youngsters won
- Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.