CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e5261039eb9d834d07d15a6534b647b44746bc48d1a914fa1c5933c3b5d7ead
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Imperial, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Imperial | 58c | 4,168$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 33c | 2,787$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.3 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Imperial | 62c | 2,558$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.87 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 1,380$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.72 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Imperial | 66c | 1,136$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.05 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.73 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 791.64$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.17 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Imperial | 48c | 624.98$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 35c | 611.31$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 502.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.59 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 414.97$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.38 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 305.44$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.67 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 62c | 290.91$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 59c | 240.75$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 42c | 236.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.47 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 34c | 229.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.79 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…dff7backed Imperial | 50c | 200.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 173.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Imperial | 47c | 155.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 61c | 148.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 53c | 137.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 42c | 122$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed Imperial | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…8ee3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 42c | 88.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Imperial | 65c | 83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Imperial | 13c | 79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 34c | 64.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 61.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Imperial | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Imperial | 60c | 54.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Imperial | 58c | 43.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…ffcabacked Imperial | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Imperial | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Imperial | 62c | 32.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 29.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Imperial | 52c | 24.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Imperial | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked Imperial | 68c | 15.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.