Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Daniil Glinka vs Yunchaokete Bu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e5ee65e5f45307c4202ebed58e882f82498a547f0cb0c5afcc528b9c3d51cf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yunchaokete Buof Daniil Glinka, Yunchaokete Bu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Daniil Glinka | 7c | 3,663$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.43 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniil Glinka | 3c | 3,529$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Daniil Glinka | 19c | 3,417$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.9 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daniil Glinka | 8c | 3,003$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.91 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f82…b06cbacked Daniil Glinka | 7c | 1,366$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Daniil Glinka | 11c | 1,296$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.07 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Daniil Glinka | 19c | 1,061$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.68 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniil Glinka | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…4610backed Daniil Glinka | 8c | 775.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Daniil Glinka | 11c | 719.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Daniil Glinka | 11c | 536.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniil Glinka | 19c | 499.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Daniil Glinka | 18c | 483.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daniil Glinka | 13c | 431.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Daniil Glinka | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Daniil Glinka | 19c | 403.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Daniil Glinka | 9c | 378.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Daniil Glinka | 8c | 301.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Daniil Glinka | 19c | 299.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Daniil Glinka | 18c | 211.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Daniil Glinka | 13c | 202.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Yunchaokete Bu | 80c | 199.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Daniil Glinka | 17c | 197.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Daniil Glinka | 8c | 174$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Daniil Glinka | 12c | 169.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…453fbacked Daniil Glinka | 13c | 169.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Daniil Glinka | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Daniil Glinka | 8c | 155.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Daniil Glinka | 20c | 136.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Daniil Glinka | 18c | 126.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yunchaokete Bu | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Daniil Glinka | 19c | 123.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Daniil Glinka | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Daniil Glinka | 16c | 78.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 80c | 77.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Daniil Glinka | 14c | 74.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Daniil Glinka | 22c | 69.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Daniil Glinka | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Daniil Glinka | 20c | 59.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yunchaokete Bu | 79c | 50.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Yunchaokete Bu | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Yunchaokete Bu | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newport: Daniil Glinka vs Yunchaokete Buthis page
- Daniil Glinka vs. Yunchaokete Bu: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Glinka vs BuBu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.