CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e734db80158aea87eb95c8154825a6933fc36ac941707cbf466361652faa7da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof Brute, Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed Brute | 55c | 5,896$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.16 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Young Ninjas | 32c | 3,334$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.23 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Young Ninjas | 41c | 3,023$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.41 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Brute | 61c | 2,002$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.09 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Young Ninjas | 47c | 1,577$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.61 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Brute | 72c | 1,206$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.61 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Young Ninjas | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Young Ninjas | 3c | 1,038$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Young Ninjas | 45c | 989.42$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.24 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Young Ninjas | 30c | 950.21$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.45 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Young Ninjas | 29c | 613.71$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.53 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Young Ninjas | 16c | 608.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Brute | 73c | 462.13$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Brute | 75c | 419.55$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Brute | 67c | 346.86$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Young Ninjas | 49c | 304.76$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Young Ninjas | 16c | 296.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Young Ninjas | 15c | 160.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Young Ninjas | 48c | 151.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Young Ninjas | 59c | 146.29$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Young Ninjas | 35c | 141.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Young Ninjas | 14c | 138.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Young Ninjas | 43c | 136.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…c511backed Young Ninjas | 25c | 117.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Young Ninjas | 19c | 86.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Brute | 72c | 83.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 412 | 54.9%226 W · 186 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Young Ninjas | 70c | 72.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed Brute | 61c | 64.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Young Ninjas | 23c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…92a5backed Brute | 76c | 51.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Young Ninjas | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Young Ninjas | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Young Ninjas | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 PlayoffsBrute won
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.