TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Brute vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Young Ninjasof Brute, Young Ninjas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2924…0f31backed Young Ninjas70c1,773$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.8949646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Young Ninjas62c626.27$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.291,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Brute38c607.19$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4439248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Brute28c407.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.176,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Young Ninjas50c376.1$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0594645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Brute19c361.36$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.741,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Young Ninjas75c333.55$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.891,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Brute23c294.78$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.322,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Brute49c193.84$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.42,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Brute39c184.63$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.081,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x928a…8044backed Brute43c158.73$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8520358.6%119 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Young Ninjas72c153.08$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.663,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Young Ninjas67c94.82$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.494,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Young Ninjas58c83.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.215949.2%29 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Brute49c79.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.891,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Young Ninjas55c70.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.849948.5%48 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brute28c66.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.655,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Brute33c65.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.811,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed Young Ninjas47c42.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9311442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Young Ninjas68c23.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6747260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.