La Liga · resolved market
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e7b00a2ac3cbc02b8273b8dfdc38c7195aacab72e455894839363c5a129a0c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 66c | 1,125$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.3 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 45c | 1,109$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.07 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 55c | 1,033$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.1 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 877.61$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.89 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 155.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Over | 54c | 134$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 39c | 120.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 54c | 91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Over | 54c | 76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 24c | 50.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 60c | 40.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Under | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Under | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 55c | 36.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 332 | 44%146 W · 186 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Under | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Under | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Under | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 62c | 22.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5this page
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.