Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Arad Men: Valentin Vanta vs Trisztan Gubi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eaedc7c9bb19e8ff731536f38ad7188ec8d5a7c2c1888efa855659b95c1565b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentin Vantaof Valentin Vanta, Trisztan Gubi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Valentin Vanta | 50c | 1,374$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.39 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Trisztan Gubi | 46c | 1,306$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.35 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trisztan Gubi | 14c | 1,189$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Trisztan Gubi | 41c | 346.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valentin Vanta | 53c | 276.14$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.63 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Trisztan Gubi | 43c | 252.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Valentin Vanta | 52c | 244.66$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Valentin Vanta | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Trisztan Gubi | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Trisztan Gubi | 46c | 91.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Trisztan Gubi | 16c | 64.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…8666backed Valentin Vanta | 52c | 53.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe017…9036backed Valentin Vanta | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Valentin Vanta | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 419 | 58.7%246 W · 173 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valentin Vanta | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…2395backed Trisztan Gubi | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Trisztan Gubi | 52c | 24.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Trisztan Gubi | 52c | 23.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 204 | 57.4%117 W · 87 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Valentin Vanta | 52c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.