Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eb7a7570c5848a2cf33ca7df868d84338604645366258e0ed656536ba601bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLA Bruinsof Northwestern Wildcats, UCLA Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UCLA Bruins | 77c | 3,850$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.67 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Northwestern Wildcats | 3c | 2,003$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UCLA Bruins | 79c | 1,725$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.25 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 15c | 1,342$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UCLA Bruins | 75c | 1,072$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.36 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 21c | 1,058$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Northwestern Wildcats | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Northwestern Wildcats | 21c | 900$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 2c | 670$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Northwestern Wildcats | 8c | 601.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UCLA Bruins | 76c | 576.65$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Northwestern Wildcats | 21c | 514$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northwestern Wildcats | 3c | 443.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Northwestern Wildcats | 18c | 361.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 25c | 305.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked UCLA Bruins | 75c | 295.32$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northwestern Wildcats | 23c | 217.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northwestern Wildcats | 23c | 216.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 26c | 195.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Northwestern Wildcats | 24c | 140.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 26c | 130.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked UCLA Bruins | 79c | 128$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 18c | 112.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed UCLA Bruins | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Northwestern Wildcats | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Northwestern Wildcats | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed UCLA Bruins | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northwestern Wildcats | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Northwestern Wildcats | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked UCLA Bruins | 78c | 25.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked UCLA Bruins | 73c | 23.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruinsthis page
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 144.5Under won
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-6.5)UCLA Bruins won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-7.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.