Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f22bb020476f936c27d1f4520c0ab5ec980eeb7a7036adfa8666411bfb474d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEC Esportsof TEC Esports, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed9d…517dbacked TEC Esports | 38c | 1,339$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…e76abacked TEC Esports | 36c | 1,248$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e0…9f02backed TEC Esports | 38c | 1,155$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458f…124bbacked TEC Esports | 35c | 980.98$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…b7b5backed TEC Esports | 34c | 929$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493b…1541backed TEC Esports | 34c | 803$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…4456backed TEC Esports | 34c | 761$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…4921backed Wolves Esports | 64c | 683$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…e4debacked Wolves Esports | 62c | 671$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…1fcfbacked Wolves Esports | 62c | 668$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…9c03backed Wolves Esports | 62c | 648$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…fcacbacked Wolves Esports | 64c | 565$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…b1b6backed Wolves Esports | 66c | 550$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…41debacked Wolves Esports | 65c | 508$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…b7bbbacked Wolves Esports | 62c | 507$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TEC Esports | 58c | 473.18$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.74 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…a498backed Wolves Esports | 65c | 473$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…afaabacked Wolves Esports | 66c | 469$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…f1c8backed Wolves Esports | 66c | 460$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…a935backed Wolves Esports | 66c | 410$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Wolves Esports | 41c | 400$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Wolves Esports | 30c | 385.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b8…3937backed Wolves Esports | 45c | 357.77$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…c483backed Wolves Esports | 66c | 351$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed TEC Esports | 57c | 317.63$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f6…b4febacked Wolves Esports | 66c | 253$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…7e51backed TEC Esports | 71c | 193.08$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed TEC Esports | 36c | 176.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.26 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Wolves Esports | 67c | 150.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wolves Esports | 41c | 130.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TEC Esports | 32c | 112.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked TEC Esports | 53c | 96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TEC Esports | 41c | 93.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Wolves Esports | 64c | 62.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…34f7backed Wolves Esports | 32c | 51.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…f22bbacked Wolves Esports | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked TEC Esports | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5689…10e6backed Wolves Esports | 72c | 48.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed TEC Esports | 67c | 47.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…290ebacked Wolves Esports | 66c | 36.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…c27fbacked Wolves Esports | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3560backed Wolves Esports | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed TEC Esports | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked TEC Esports | 61c | 27.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…9091backed TEC Esports | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed TEC Esports | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Wolves Esports | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Wolves Esports | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…baa6backed Wolves Esports | 69c | 22.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…539bbacked Wolves Esports | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 WinnerTEC Esports won
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 WinnerWolves Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.