CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f3e97351b394068c314624332cfa458d67a98a9d5e858eb4d2524c9db8a58b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Turma do Pagode, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 2,812$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.66 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Turma do Pagode | 21c | 1,472$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.11 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Turma do Pagode | 31c | 1,375$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Turma do Pagode | 56c | 711.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 630.98$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.13 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 454.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.13 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 437.22$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.01 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Turma do Pagode | 32c | 382.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Turma do Pagode | 57c | 303.27$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.86 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 69c | 300$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Turma do Pagode | 33c | 215$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 211.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Turma do Pagode | 28c | 129.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 107.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Turma do Pagode | 33c | 104.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 98.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Turma do Pagode | 31c | 86.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Turma do Pagode | 30c | 76.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Turma do Pagode | 36c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Turma do Pagode | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Turma do Pagode | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Turma do Pagode | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Turma do Pagode | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Turma do Pagode | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Turma do Pagode | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 PlayoffsTurma do Pagode won
- Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 WinnerTurma do Pagode won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.