CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe0e448f722f02b1c0b25a9651efe8ea58081e0218ec51b7fb9fe979104d8386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Turma do Pagodeof Turma do Pagode, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 45c | 1,765$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.55 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Turma do Pagode | 64c | 799.16$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.97 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 49c | 572$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.92 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Turma do Pagode | 54c | 513.77$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Turma do Pagode | 30c | 454.55$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Turma do Pagode | 67c | 389.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Turma do Pagode | 40c | 366$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.39 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 28c | 321$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 16c | 299.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Turma do Pagode | 50c | 297.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Turma do Pagode | 58c | 255.4$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Turma do Pagode | 65c | 182.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Turma do Pagode | 64c | 174.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Turma do Pagode | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Turma do Pagode | 55c | 149.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Turma do Pagode | 64c | 132.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 132.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Turma do Pagode | 64c | 125.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7510…367fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 10c | 123.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Turma do Pagode | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Turma do Pagode | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Turma do Pagode | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Turma do Pagode | 64c | 93.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 67.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 62.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Turma do Pagode | 42c | 47.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 36.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 PlayoffsTurma do Pagode won
- Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.