Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4b589815f16fac60b70db7993cc4af8d6d57159d6e4439c61ed744986afe0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Rapid Wienof SK Rapid Wien, FC Santa Coloma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed FC Santa Coloma | 47c | 4,101$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.62 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed SK Rapid Wien | 53c | 1,860$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.67 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SK Rapid Wien | 53c | 1,177$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.22 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed SK Rapid Wien | 47c | 781.1$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.45 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked FC Santa Coloma | 54c | 663.69$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.39 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SK Rapid Wien | 56c | 300$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.03 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked FC Santa Coloma | 56c | 275.11$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.23 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FC Santa Coloma | 57c | 223.24$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SK Rapid Wien | 42c | 187.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed SK Rapid Wien | 49c | 166.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked FC Santa Coloma | 72c | 152$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked SK Rapid Wien | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed SK Rapid Wien | 54c | 135.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed FC Santa Coloma | 46c | 125.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked FC Santa Coloma | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SK Rapid Wien | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked SK Rapid Wien | 54c | 70.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Santa Coloma | 42c | 64.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed FC Santa Coloma | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked SK Rapid Wien | 54c | 58.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked SK Rapid Wien | 56c | 34.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked FC Santa Coloma | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…db73backed SK Rapid Wien | 53c | 31.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed SK Rapid Wien | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-1.5)this page
- FC Santa Coloma vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Santa Coloma vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Santa Coloma vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-2.5)FC Santa Coloma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.