Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f6956ea82f773d75918bad97fc0616b3f1997f3223523f4956a0c59da9f15c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 66c | 10,718$7,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 9,735$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.16 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 5,795$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.44 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 70c | 1,196$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 56c | 743.73$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.97 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 15c | 604.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Over | 49c | 537.44$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.08 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 69c | 390$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Over | 72c | 279$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 57c | 263.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 73c | 249.32$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 15c | 200.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 62c | 168.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 32c | 160.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 63c | 159.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 62c | 155.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 16c | 100.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 89.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ea33backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 65c | 50.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 80c | 27.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 69c | 24.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…2765backed Over | 62c | 18.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.