Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cf907ec75e4e4f2519f80d50da1c4e7e4dabf9e2e02d6a9bdca5db6df5e5c43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 10,000$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.86 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 35c | 4,813$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,131.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 3,895$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.55 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 35c | 2,789$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.18 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 65c | 2,433$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.4 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,733$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.3 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 1,703$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.15 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 44c | 1,515$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Over | 51c | 1,355$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 45c | 599.89$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f8a0backed Over | 66c | 563.77$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 12c | 556.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Over | 4c | 507.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 35c | 381.42$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.18 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 65c | 364$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Over | 66c | 331.36$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 66c | 319.11$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.61 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 32c | 300.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Over | 49c | 294$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Under | 36c | 286.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 25c | 221.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 48c | 208.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 65c | 207.34$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 62c | 168.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 48c | 123.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 22c | 123$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 53c | 116.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 26c | 101.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 70c | 101.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 64c | 100.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 68c | 95.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Under | 72c | 84.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 32c | 82.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 64c | 81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0798…80a7backed Over | 65c | 80.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 62.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 33c | 58.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 65c | 56.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 65c | 55.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked Under | 56c | 52.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 35c | 49.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 27c | 44.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 65c | 41.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…0e37backed Under | 74c | 40.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 64c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 64c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 64c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…4e3abacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Under | 58c | 31.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Over | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…4ffcbacked Under | 78c | 26.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 64c | 19.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.